More Stats – Stat Overload

More employment data from the CA EDD… March was not an improvement on February… that’s not good news.

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Giant rabbits in San Francisco leave path of mayhem and destruction (just kidding)!

SF Bay Area Employment growth has stagnated. See March 2016 Employment Data Here.

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Observation

If you hang out in a gym long enough and push some weights, eventually, you can look at a set of barbells and decide if you can handle the weight. The power of observation combined with experience goes a long way.20160413-weight-DSE_0259_x1600

When you look at a chart of historical data your observation skills are useful but a trend is not causal. There’s no way to know if next month, next quarter or next year will follow the same trend you’ve seen in the past.

That said, who knows what’s next for the economy. We’ve had a long run with good employment growth here in the San Francisco Bay Area. Home prices have pretty much recovered, as well. Outside of the Bay Area some regions in California have not fared as well. The Bay Area employment and home price trend lines are flat right now. It will be interesting to see whether they push up or down over the summer.

See recent EDD Employment Data Here, and

See recent CoreLogic Housing Data

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Future

“Life can only be understood backwards; but it must be lived forwards.” Søren Kierkegaard

My kids are the future but they always yell at me when I point a camera in their direction. Recently, I was going through a box of old photos and I found a few slides from my misspent yuth. This, happily, coincides with Jen H’s weekly photo challenge to show me the future.

Here’s what the future looked like to me 44 years ago.

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I was about to embark on my adult-life journey starting with college in New Orleans.

And remember what a smart man had to say about the future…

“I never think of the future – it comes soon enough.”              Albert Einstein

Thanks to goodreads for the quotes.

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Landscape

It’s no April Fool’s Joke when Cheri Lucas Rowlands lays down a landscape photo challenge. Cheri has even provided some helpful hints on getting it right.

Laying out a landscape photo is not as easy as it looks. I know. I’ve taken thousands of bad snapshots that I thought were good landscapes.

I’m adding a recent photo of a land/city scape from Crissy Field in San Francisco to the mix. I’ve also included my original snap and some of my own hints you might find useful. The shot is not print-worthy but sometimes landscapes just let you re-live a moment in time like a lovely Easter Sunday with family and friends. And that’s worth something!

Have a beautiful weekend.

Out of the camera Raw file. I over expose digital landscape to protect shadow detail. Don't blow highlights tho!

Out of the camera Raw file. I over expose digital landscape to protect shadow detail. Don’t blow highlights tho!

Straightened, cropped to 16:9, cloned out people at waters edge, gradient mapped to add color, enhanced sky saturation, added saturation to bridge, sharpened everything but the sky.

Straightened, cropped to 16:9, cloned out people at waters edge, gradient mapped to add color, enhanced sky saturation, added saturation to bridge, burned in the edges, sharpened everything but the sky. It’s not what you saw… It’s how you want to remember it!

Lotsa landscape! San Bruno Mountain south of San Francisco.

Lotsa landscape! San Bruno Mountain south of San Francisco.

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Half-Light

The half-light signals when day loses its battle with night. Twilight, the blue hour, takes over from the golden hour when the Sun dips below the horizon. It’s the moment when your mind lets you feel the cool night air as you stand and wave goodbye to another day. Krista challenged the wordPress community to Share a photo inspired by a poem, verse, song lyric or story.

Here are the lyrics to a sad lament by one of my favorite bands… The Band.

Whispering Pines – by Richard Manuel and Robbie Robertson

If you find me in a gloom, or catch me in a dream
Inside my lonely room, there is no in between
Whispering pines, rising of the tide
If only one star shines
That’s just enough to get inside
I will wait until it all goes ’round
With you in sight, the lost are found
Foghorn through the night, calling out to sea
Protect my only light, ’cause she once belonged to me
Let the waves rush in, let the seagulls cry
For if I live again, these hopes will never die
I can feel you standing there
But I don’t see you anywhere

Standing by the well, wishing for the rains
Reaching for the clouds, for nothing else remains
Drifting in a daze, when evening will be done
Try looking through a haze
At an empty house, in the cold, cold sun
I will wait until it all goes round
With you in sight, the lost are found

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Dance

“Pow… Pow” So ended the dance routine of my then three-year-old daughter who was dressed in a cute cowgirl outfit. She danced on until she was about 15 with that school which meant we spent many Memorial Day weekends at the Santa Clara County Fairgrounds for an annual dance competition. I will spare you the details. Ben Huberman challenged the wordPress community to capture, “…the rhythm and motion all around us.” How about some photos of people and animal friends in coordinated movement? Have a beautiful weekend.

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One Love

A Friday diversion into the definition of:

One Love: refers to the universal love and respect expressed by all people for all people, regardless of race, creed, or color.  —The Urban Dictionary

A couple of years ago I ventured out to the Columbus Street Fair (aka North Beach Festival) in North Beach (San Francisco). Let me say very simply that good food, good beer and good music are the answer to what is one love? 🙂

Some snapshots from an afternoon of merriment follow in response to Anne McCarthy’s weekly photo challenge. Hope you find One Love this weekend!

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Ut Oh

Here in the San Francisco Bay Area the labor market has gotten off to a slow start in 2016. Well, actually, it’s just continuing the year-end 2015 trend: DOWNWARD. See updated San Francisco Bay Area employment stats here. Is the tech bubble about to sunset???

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Are Old Home Prices Coming Back?

Skip the year-over-year price trend and look at the median home price data over the past month, three months and six months. Not a lot going on here with prices slowly trending flat to downward. Only San Francisco shows much improvement and, well, that’s just kinda crazy.

Should be an interesting year.

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San Francisco and the Golden Gate from the top of Coit Tower

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State of Mind

Ben Huberman laid down the weekly photo challenge. Show a photo that reflects your state of mind.

While on my way home from an assignment in San Francisco yesterday I stopped at one of my favorite places to hang out and collect my thoughts. It’s Ft. Miley on Lands End in western San Francisco overlooking the Golden Gate. I snapped a photo of a young backpacker who was deep in thought while watching the ship traffic passing by below in the deep waters of the gate. It was a reflection of why I go to that spot: a need to collect my thoughts.

Have a lovely weekend.

Moody State of Mind

Colorful State of Mind

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